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Taiwan Business and Commerce Times: Mainland China Economy in Shock Under the Effect of SARS
(Clearwisdom.net report on April 21st) Report from Taipei: The spreading of SARS in mainland China is shocking. Under the pressure from
WHO and international media, the Chinese Ministration Bureau of Health published its data of SARS
patients according to WHO standards. As of April 18, there were 1,807 SARS cases and 79 deaths. In
order to prevent the further spreading of SARS, the government canceled the long holiday around May
1st this year, which results in further damage to the tourism industry. The Beijing
government ordered that all shops stop large-scale sales promotion events. After deputy Health
Minister Gao Qiang corrected the latest SARS data, the Chinese President Hu Jintao and Premier Wen
Jiabao took disciplinary action. Health Minister Zhang Wenkang, known to have been intentionally
hiding the facts, was removed from his position as Secretary in the Party; the positions that Meng
Xuenong used to hold, such as Vice Secretary of the Beijing City branch of the Party, Committee
Member in charge, etc, have been taken over by Wang Qi, the current Secretary of Hainan Province. Gao Qiang admitted that Beijing had presented incomplete and inaccurate statistics on SARS. From
April 21 on, mainland China will accelerate its reporting of SARS data from one every 5 days, to a
daily update. In order to prevent the further spread of SARS caused by large-scale travel, Gao Qiang
announced that the upcoming May 1st long holiday would be canceled this year. The Chinese economy grew 9.9% in the 1st quarter. But after the sudden outbreak of
SARS in Beijing and other major cities, plus the cancellation of the May 1st holiday, the
economy has already been damaged, especially jeopardizing the tourism industry, commercial marketing
and trade shows. Many big shows were delayed or canceled; travel agencies have canceled trips and
are downsizing personnel. Experts estimate that China's GDP may be lowered by 1-2%. SARS has already created major losses to Mainland trade shows. Yin Mingzhao, CEO of Beijing's
Zhongjian Huashuo Exhibition Company Ltd. said that "cancellation requests from foreign
exhibitors are non-negotiatable. Normally, 15-50% of the exhibitors in a professional international
trade show are foreigners. So the cancellation of all foreign exhibitors means the cancellation of
all exhibits. For instance, the original International Communication Data Exhibition in Shanghai
this April, 40% of the booths are from Taiwan. Now that these companies refuse to come, the trade
show is delayed." The direct income from the Chinese Exhibition industry in 2002 totals nearly 5 billion Yuan RMB,
which helped the economy in relevant industries, such as lodging, dining, communication, tourism,
purchasing, etc. income reach 36 billion Yuan RMB, equivalent 0.04% GDP, and increased 20% every
year. If SARS is not controlled soon, it will hit the marketing/trade show industry heavily. The tourism industry is facing the most severe crisis. Mainland China created 33.1 billion Yuan
in income during last year's May 1st long holiday, with the number of tourists reaching
87.1 million. After hearing that the May 1st holiday was canceled, an unnamed official in
charge of the Guangdong Provincial Touring Industry said, "It's total collapse, don't even
think about it!" China Economics Times quoted mainland China Kanghui Travel Agency Manager Li
Jilie, "Because the number of tourists is dwindling, all trips through Kanghui have been
canceled in May, and most June and July trips are canceled as well. Some travel agencies in Zhejiang
Province have reduced employee salaries." Top Chinese economics expert Hu Zuliu, employed by Gaosheng Inc., said that "since the
Chinese economy is so enormous, the short-term impact (of SARS) might be tiny." But he is
worried about the long-term damage, which includes foreigners' new views on the transparency of
Chinese government policies. Posting date: 4/24/2003
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